據國外媒體1月19日巴黎報道，根據國際能源署（IEA）的最新一期石油市場報告，全球去年石油需求增長現在預計在150萬桶/天。

　　IEA在報告中說：“然而，在2017年，我們仍然預計全球石油需求增長速度回落到130萬桶/天。更高產品價格，假設2017年原油成本上漲，加上美元走強可能性的前景是我們下調今年全球石油需求增長前景背后的因素。”

　　根據報告，初步跡象顯示，由于沙特阿拉伯與其鄰國執行減產協議，歐佩克1月份的原油產量可能進一步減少。

　　報告說：“IEA曾預測頁巖油產量在2017年將有一段時間增加，但是，我們現在預測頁巖油產量在去年日減近30萬桶以后今年將有更大的增加，日增17萬桶。”

　　報告說，在別處，計劃已久的項目在巴西和加拿大將陸續投產，這些項目今年將日增41.5萬桶石油產量。在中國和哥倫比亞，去年看到的產量大幅下降今年將會減少。

　　李峻編譯

　　原文如下：

　　IEA: Global oil demand growth expected to drop in 2017

　　Trend/January 19, 2017/Paris

　　Global oil demand growth for 2016 is now expected to be 1.5 million barrels per day (mb/d), according to the Oil Market Report of the International Energy Agency (IEA).

　　“In 2017, however, we still expect the rate of growth for global demand to fall back to 1.3 mb/d. The prospect of higher product prices - assuming that the cost of crude oil rises in 2017 - plus the possibility of a stronger US dollar are factors behind our reduced demand growth outlook for this year,” said IEA.

　　Early indications suggest a deeper reduction may be under way in OPEC crude production for January, as Saudi Arabia and its neighbors enforce supply cuts, according to the report.

　　“The IEA has anticipated for some time that shale oil production will increase in 2017, but we are now expecting an even larger increase of 170,000 b/d, following a decline of nearly 300,000 b/d last year,” said the organization.

　　“Elsewhere, long-planned projects are coming on stream in Brazil and Canada and their combined production will rise by 415,000 b/d this year,” said the report. “In China and Colombia, the sharp declines in production seen in 2016 will be reduced.”.