歐佩克：下半年油價將升至每桶40美元

據4月28日Gulf Times報道，歐佩克輪值主席阿爾及利亞能源部長穆罕默德?阿卡布(Mohamed Arkab)表示，歐佩克預測，隨著歐佩克+減產及世界各地逐步解除行動限制，油價將在2020年下半年開始回升，油價將從第三季度開始將達到40美元/桶。

根據歐佩克的說法，全球經濟不會停滯太久。阿卡布稱："加上歐佩克及其盟友5月和6月承諾的970萬桶/天的減產，將在2020年下半年推升油價。亞洲交通部門正在逐步恢復正常，也正在提振全球需求。

就在歐佩克+協議生效的前幾天，由于市場將目光聚焦在迫在眉睫的儲油空間短缺問題上，并且超過了歐佩克+減產協議帶來的潛在影響，油價暴跌。

上周，歐佩克第四大產油國科威特表示，該國已經在5月1日前開始減少對國際市場的石油供應：“當前形勢下，必須對市場狀況做出應對措施?！?/span>

鄒勤 摘譯自 Gulf Times

原文如下：

OPEC Says Oil Price May Rise To $40 In Second Half Of 2020

OPEC has predicted that oil prices are set to recover with the OPEC+ production cuts and gradual lifting of lockdowns around the world in the second half of 2020, when oil prices “will be $40 starting from the third quarter,” Mohamed Arkab, Energy Minister of OPEC’s rotating president Algeria, said.

According to OPEC the global economy will not stay paralyzed for too long. “Together with the 9.7 million bpd cuts, OPEC and its allies pledged for May and June, these factors are set to lift the price of oil in H2 2020” Arkab said.

In Asia, which was hit first by the coronavirus, and which exited the lockdown first, the return to normalization in the transportation sector “is driving up global demand,” according to Algeria’s energy minister.

Just a few days before the OPEC+ deal enters into force, oil prices crashed as the market continues to see the imminent storage shortage problem as a bigger factor for prices than the potential effect of the OPEC+ cuts and the potential easing of the lockdown measures.

Last week, OPEC’s fourth-largest producer, Kuwait, said it had already started to reduce oil supply to international markets ahead of May 1, “sensing a responsibility responding to market conditions.” he said.