據(jù)油價(jià)網(wǎng)9月2日?qǐng)?bào)道， 根據(jù)路透調(diào)查顯示，由于歐佩克繼續(xù)放松減產(chǎn)，8月份的石油產(chǎn)量高于7月份，需求復(fù)蘇也刺激產(chǎn)量增加。

據(jù)該調(diào)查稱(chēng)，8月原油日產(chǎn)量增加95萬(wàn)桶，至2,427萬(wàn)桶。盡管伊拉克承諾在8月份將日產(chǎn)量再削減40萬(wàn)桶，以彌補(bǔ)其以前未遵循OEPC+減產(chǎn)配額，但產(chǎn)量增加似乎仍在繼續(xù)。尼日利亞還承諾進(jìn)一步減產(chǎn)，以彌補(bǔ)5月份以來(lái)的生產(chǎn)過(guò)剩。

當(dāng)歐佩克+將創(chuàng)紀(jì)錄的每天970萬(wàn)桶的減產(chǎn)延長(zhǎng)一個(gè)月至7月底時(shí)，聯(lián)盟同意，該條約中的所有國(guó)家都應(yīng)100%遵守其配額，而那些沒(méi)有遵守配額的國(guó)家則應(yīng)通過(guò)在7月、8月和9月超額完成減產(chǎn)來(lái)補(bǔ)償不遵守的情況。

從8月開(kāi)始，歐佩克+已將減產(chǎn)幅度降至770萬(wàn)桶/天，其中歐佩克的13個(gè)成員國(guó)需要總削減486.8萬(wàn)桶/天，不包括伊拉克和尼日利亞的補(bǔ)償性減產(chǎn)。

石油需求可能正在改善，從而幫助歐佩克堅(jiān)守其配額，但就連歐佩克對(duì)今年的石油需求也不是特別樂(lè)觀。該組織在其最新月度石油市場(chǎng)報(bào)告中稱(chēng)，預(yù)計(jì)今年石油日需求將減少910萬(wàn)桶，較7月預(yù)估向上調(diào)10萬(wàn)桶。歐佩克還估計(jì)，今年全球經(jīng)濟(jì)可能下降多達(dá)4%，7月時(shí)的預(yù)估為3.7%。

根據(jù)路透調(diào)查數(shù)據(jù)顯示，自6月OPEC產(chǎn)量觸及1991年以來(lái)最低水平以來(lái)，產(chǎn)量已反彈200萬(wàn)桶/日，其中包括沙特主動(dòng)實(shí)施的100萬(wàn)桶/日減產(chǎn)，以通過(guò)收緊供應(yīng)加速油價(jià)反彈。迄今為止是歐佩克最大的生產(chǎn)國(guó)的沙特阿拉伯8月日產(chǎn)量為900萬(wàn)桶，較7月增加60萬(wàn)桶。

郝芬 譯自 油價(jià)網(wǎng)

原文如下：

OPEC Production Rises By 950,000 Bpd In August

OPEC produced more oil in August than it did in July as the cartel continued to relax its production cuts, a Reuters survey has revealed, with recovering demand also stimulating more production.

The August increase amounted to 950,000 bpd, the survey said, to a total of 24.27 million bpd. This appears to be despite Iraq’s pledge to cut an additional 400,000 bpd from its output in August to compensate for its undercompliance with the OEPC+ cuts. Nigeria had also pledged to effect additional production cuts to compensate for its overproduction since May.

When OPEC+ extended the record production cuts of 9.7 million bpd by one month through the end of July, the coalition agreed that all countries in the pact should comply 100 percent with their quotas, and those who have not, should be compensating for lack of compliance by overachieving in the cuts in July, August, and September.

Beginning in August, OPEC+ has reduced the cuts to 7.7 million bpd, of which OPEC’s 13 members need to cut a combined 4.868 million bpd, excluding Iraq’s and Nigeria’s compensatory cuts.

Demand for oil may be improving and thus helping the cartel stick to its quotas, but even OPEC is not particularly optimistic for oil demand this year. In its latest Monthly Oil Market Report the group said it expected oil demand loss this year to hit 9.1 million bpd, a 100,000-bpd upward revision on its July forecast. OPEC also estimated that the global economy could shrink by as much as 4 percent this year, a revision from 3.7 percent estimated in July.

Since June, when OPEC’s production hit the lowest since 1991, according to data surveyed by Reuters, output has rebounded by 2 million bpd, including 1 million bpd of production cuts that Saudi Arabia had implemented voluntarily to hasten the oil price rebound by tightening supply. In August, the Kingdom, which is OPEC’s largest producer by far, pumped 9 million bpd, up by 600,000 bpd from July.